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Deloitte health report projects a deceleration in health spending, likely creating a U.S. $3.5 trillion “well-being dividend” by 2040. The report shares what the future of health could look like: new business models, emerging technologies, and highly engaged consumers.
Healthcare spending in the United States topped $3.8 trillion dollars in 2019 — nearly 18% of the gross domestic product (GDP) — as projected by the CMS Office of the Actuary.
Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, CMS had projected health spending would continue to grow at a rate of 5.3% a year, reaching nearly $6.2 trillion by 2028. If those increases were to continue unabated over the next 20 years, health spending could reach a staggering $11.8 trillion by 2040.
However, finance firm Deloitte released a report recently predicting health spending as a percentage of the GDP will decelerate over the next 20 years.
In the new Deloitte report, "Breaking the cost curve: Deloitte predicts health spending as a percentage of GDP will decelerate over the next 20 years," it anticipates that emerging technologies, an ability to cure and prevent disease (or detect disease in the earliest stages), and highly engaged consumers will lead to a deceleration of health spending between now and 2040.
The report predicted three separate areas will take shape by 2040: